Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 8.012648e-01 1.014036 1.251544 1.533506 1.856317 2.211682 2.629756
2025-08-03 4.803816e-01 0.739864 1.066168 1.493715 2.026429 2.656306 3.445119
2025-08-10 3.015126e-01 0.571712 0.954213 1.502134 2.234878 3.151201 4.353310
2025-08-17 1.758186e-01 0.425353 0.827339 1.456489 2.354779 3.534645 5.144056
2025-08-24 1.173456e-01 0.358064 0.792757 1.523603 2.620336 4.113179 6.206092
2025-08-31 7.048045e-02 0.285689 0.727666 1.527998 2.789111 4.564578 7.117259
2025-09-07 4.832091e-02 0.253366 0.721959 1.620293 3.087406 5.202940 8.298250
2025-09-14 3.075515e-02 0.218726 0.700889 1.679949 3.335270 5.776713 9.407273
2025-09-21 1.757865e-02 0.183037 0.665942 1.706922 3.528873 6.275813 10.424563
2025-09-28 7.910001e-03 0.143272 0.607200 1.678347 3.625770 6.631864 11.246851
2025-10-05 3.701896e-03 0.120654 0.582130 1.708646 3.818300 7.133663 12.286118
2025-10-12 1.329497e-03 0.099332 0.551729 1.721886 3.979265 7.589676 13.267580
2025-10-19 1.705113e-04 0.074061 0.497978 1.679116 4.042570 7.903542 14.061603
2025-10-26 2.415876e-07 0.054204 0.449558 1.638614 4.104921 8.216488 14.861961
2025-11-02 NaN 0.042680 0.424930 1.648536 4.258888 8.678777 15.894765
2025-11-09 NaN 0.029447 0.380366 1.600338 4.297615 8.953881 16.650255
2025-11-16 NaN 0.025903 0.382453 1.672157 4.571335 9.620543 18.013148
2025-11-23 NaN 0.019508 0.361047 1.676969 4.712116 10.069934 19.051185
2025-11-30 NaN 0.018229 0.372782 1.775367 5.044532 10.846961 20.606556
2025-12-07 NaN 0.015662 0.372447 1.838904 5.308489 11.514258 22.002246
2025-12-14 NaN 0.012294 0.360909 1.867620 5.501661 12.065523 23.225835
2025-12-21 NaN 0.008055 0.331689 1.837226 5.569058 12.402615 24.119287
2025-12-28 NaN 0.006157 0.323075 1.869468 5.769252 12.971549 25.384539